New user sale ⚡️ 1st month for $19.99 $14.99 with code 5OFF!
HOF Blog
/
Tutorials

MLB Player Props and Parlays: August 22

Blog Post Image

Welcome to the dynamic realm of MLB sports betting! Are you eager to delve into MLB player props? You've landed in the perfect spot! Whether you're a casual fan or an experienced gambler, we've got you covered. Join us as we unravel the intricate world of player props in baseball. We're here to arm you with key insights that could sharpen your betting strategies. So, strap in for a revealing exploration of the MLB and get ready to view the game from an insider's perspective. Let's jump in and discover together!

What are Player Prop Bets?

Player prop bets, often called “props,” focus on individual players' actions rather than the overall game result. They're popular in various sports, especially in baseball. In the MLB, these bets zoom in on specific player achievements such as hits, total bases, home runs, pitcher strikeouts, steals, etc.

Looking for a place to try these out? Head over to a major sportsbook. For instance, FanDuel Sportsbook offers a menu of bets for any MLB game. If you're interested in tonight's matchup between the Houston Astros and Baltimore Orioles check out the Same Game Parlay tab for various statistical options.

The Lineup for Today:

Patrick Corbin O 5.5 Hits Allowed (-131) (Caesars) | MLB Player Props

Since his last All-Star appearance in 2018, Patrick Corbin’s performance has been in constant decline. Corbin has led the MLB in losses for 4 consecutive seasons. This season Corbin has been particularly poor posting a 5.92 ERA while leading the league in hits allowed and earned runs.

Corbin has allowed over 5.5 hits allowed in 72% of games this season. Corbin has also cleared this line comfortably in 4 of his last 5 starts.

Finally when facing teams who average a similar number of hits as the Rockies, Corbin has cleared this line in 100% of games.

Spencer Schwellenbach 6+ Strikeouts (-164) (FD) | MLB Player Props

Spencer Schwellenbach is having a phenomenal rookie season posting a 4.04 ERA in 13 starts. Behind Schwellenbach’s success is great control and an arsenal of offspeed pitches that keep hitters guessing.

Schwellenbach has recorded 6+ strikeouts in 69% of games this season and in each of the last 5 games. Schwellenbach has been particularly good at home, reaching this line in 83% of games.

Finally, Schwellenbach faces the Phillies who he recorded 6 strikeouts against earlier this season.

Enjoy analysis like this? Make sure to follow us on our socials @hofbets on Twitter and TikTok and @hof.bets on Instagram, or check out our website for more insights like these.

Brandon Lowe U 0.5 Singles (-151) (Caesars) | MLB Player Props
Brandon Lowe has failed to replicate his past MVP caliber seasons. While he is still has great power, his ability to put the ball in play has diminished slightly. As a result Lowe is batting just .244 this season.

Lowe hasn’t singled in 74% of the last 20 games and in 68% of away games this season.

Lowe faces Oakland starter Osvaldo Bido who doesn’t allow many hits. Furthermore Lowe has failed to record a single in 6 games against the A’s this season.

Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles (-106) (DK) | Same Game Parlay 

We are going to be featuring one parlay which we believe has great upside potential. This week we are looking at a two-leg parlay, featuring Spencer Arrighetti for 5+ strikeouts and Yainer Diaz for 1+ hit. Arrighetti’s rookie season has been one of learning. Arrighetti’s failure to command his fastball has led to opposing teams teeing off on him at times. That said, the 24-year-old has great stuff making opposing teams swing and miss at a high rate. While Yainer Diaz has continued to show his promise batting .304 on the season with 15 home runs and 71 RBIs. Diaz has been particularly hot as of late hitting a walk-off home run in Tuesday’s win over the Red Sox. In review, we are taking: 

  • Spencer Arrighetti 5+ Strikeouts
  • Yainer Diaz 1+ Hit

This is currently being offered for -106 on FanDuel, but running it through our parlay optimizer, we see it has hit in 2 of Arrighetti’s last 3 starts.

Additionally this parlay has hit in 67% of games against similar ranked teams.

Finally, Diaz has recorded a hit in all 3 games against the Orioles this season, including when facing starter Corbin Burnes.

Why Bet on MLB Player Props?

Why engage in MLB player prop betting? It injects an extra thrill into baseball viewing. Unlike standard bets on teams, player props dive into the actual performances on the field. They offer more predictability and are less swayed by the crowd's opinion. With a deep understanding of a player's capabilities, you can use your insights effectively. Plus, it heightens the excitement of each game, as every action could tip the scales of your wager. Remember, responsible betting is key, but enjoy the additional excitement that player props bring to each MLB game.

In wrapping up, MLB player prop bets offer an interactive, personalized touch to professional baseball. They allow enthusiasts to go beyond scores, focusing on player stats and performances. These bets are not only thrilling but can also be quite rewarding for those who find the market's sweet spots. As a significant force in today's sports betting scene, a firm grasp of MLB player props is a must-have for any serious bettor or baseball fan. Stay informed, research thoroughly, and you may find player props to be both enjoyable and profitably engaging. Always bet with your head, not over it.

Strategies for Selecting Winning MLB Player Prop Bets

Embarking on the journey of MLB player prop betting requires a blend of skill, insight, and strategy. Here are key tactics to help you navigate this exciting landscape and make informed bets:

  • Player Performance Analysis: Delve into recent performances of players. Consider factors like injuries, recovery status, and consistency. A player on a hot streak or facing a weaker opponent could be a lucrative bet.
  • Matchup Assessments: Evaluate the matchups carefully. A batter may fail to record a hit when facing the league's top pitchers. Conversely, a pitcher may fail to record lots of strikeouts against the best offensive teams.
  • Historical Trends: Look at historical data. Some players may have a history of performing exceptionally well or poorly against certain pitchers or in particular situations.
  • Coaching Strategies: Stay updated on team strategies. Coaching decisions can influence a player's opportunity to perform. For example, a starting pitcher may get pulled earlier than expected due to pitch count.
  • In-Game Scenarios: Consider the context of the game. A team that's trailing may consider a more aggressive plate approach..
  • Bankroll Management: Keep your bankroll in check. Don't place all your funds on one prop; diversify your bets to manage risk.
  • Line Shopping: Compare odds across different sportsbooks. Even small differences can be significant over time, so shop for the best lines for your chosen props.
  • Timing Your Bets: Monitor line movements. Placing your bet at the right time, when the lines are most favorable, can be as crucial as the bet itself.
  • Keeping an Eye on the News: Injuries, trades, and team news can all affect props. Keep an eye on updates right up to game time to catch any critical changes.

By incorporating these strategies into your betting routine, you can boost your chances of finding valuable bets and making your MLB viewing experience even more thrilling.

Remember, the key to successful prop betting is research and disciplined wagering. Use the insights gained from these strategies to place smart, informed bets. With practice and patience, you could enhance your MLB player prop betting game.Take the question out of betting research with HOF Bets. Optimize your bets using sports betting analytics like these and many more, available on our platform at hofbets.com or by downloading our new iOS app here. Get started with us today for the best player prop and sports betting research.

A mockup on an iPhone of the Hofbets platform, where a user is entering in parlays and picks on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.A mockup on an iPhone of a Hofbets user examining a same game parlay they calculated on the NBA Parlay Optimizer.

Power up your parlay research and make more data-driven sports bets

Hall of Fame Bets offers simple yet powerful analytics to help you research your sports bets, with a focus on player props and parlays.